COP26 Live: 1.5℃ target kept alive in new draft
Carbon budgets , COP26 Live / 10 November 2021

With three official days left, new draft texts appeared at COP26 on Wednesday morning. The 1.5℃ target is kept alive, by urging strengthened pledges in the coming two years, as well as yearly analysis of all NDC:s. The draft of the cover decision text also calls for parties to “accelerate the phasing-out of coal and subsidies for fossil fuels” – in an unusual mention of the infamous f-world: fossil fuels.

COP26 Live: “Massive credibility gap in Glasgow”
Carbon budgets , COP26 Live / 9 November 2021

Today climate scientists again underlined the urgency of backing up long-term net zero climate goals with real policy measures and goals to reduce emissions sharply until 2030, if the Paris goal to keep global warming as close to 1.5℃ as possible is to be kept alive. This mean that an agreement in Glasgow need to include promises to sharpen short term pledges and policies during the next few years.

COP26: Som man räknar får man svar
Carbon budgets , COP26 Analysis / 8 November 2021

Under FN-mötets första vecka har det florerat vitt skilda budskap om vart dagens klimatambitioner gentligen pekar. På väg mot 2,7℃ eller mer, långt över Parisavtalets skyddsbarriärer – eller för första gången tillräckligt för att hålla uppvärmningen under 2℃. Vad stämmer egentligen?

A new reading of carbon budgets
Carbon budgets , Kevin Anderson / 17 August 2021

Sanna Gunnarsson, alumni of CEMUS, writes a brilliant analysis of carbon budgets and climate governance in her Masters thesis for KTH. Through her study of two local carbon budgets she explores the potential of this as a tool for sustainability transition through the lenses of three narratives: Tweak the system, Re-invent the system, and Shake the system. Read more in her thesis here:

Mikael Karlsson comments on IPCC Report
Carbon budgets , Government / 17 August 2021

“The risk is clear: within ten years we will pass the Paris Agreement’s goal of a 1.5 degree temperature rise.” Translation of Mikael Karlsson’s comments on the IPCC report. Originally written by Malin Eivergård, head of communications at Geo, in Swedish. Available here:

CO2 Budget Conference 2021
Carbon budgets , Kevin Anderson / 11 June 2021

This year Climate Change Leadership was glad to co-host the conference with KlimatSekretariat and KlimatRikstag as organising partners together with Fackförbundet Vision. The conference this year was a 3-day digital format, bringing together researchers, students, the public sector, civil society and others to explore the science and politics of climate change mitigation. This marked the second carbon budgets conference to be held in Sweden, and built on the work established by past Zennström Professor in Climate Change Leadership, Kevin Anderson, in designing carbon budgets for Swedish municipalities during his time in Uppsala. Day 1 of the conference was held in English, and had a particular focus on research and questions at the interface of science and policy. It began with a keynote by Professor of Energy and Climate Kevin Anderson  presenting on moving from net-zero to real-zero, and how we can use carbon budgets to frame Paris-compliant mitigation policies. The day continued with a series of speed talks on the science and politics of rapid mitigation. The talks ran as follows: Christopher Jones (Tyndall Centre) on ‘International outlooks and Translating the Paris Agreement into local climate change goals’ Sanna Gunnarsson (KTH) and Derek Garfield (Uppsala University) about municipal and regional carbon…

Carbon Budgets
Carbon budgets , Kevin Anderson / 10 December 2020

Den globala koldioxidbudgeten är den begränsade totala mängd koldioxid, det utsläppsutrymme, som kan släppas ut till atmosfären för att klara ett visst temperaturmål. Den kan brytas ner och fördelas i tid och rum och därigenom uttryckas som lokala årliga koldioxidbudgetar.

New Research: ‘climate progressive’ nations fall far short of Paris-compliant pathways
Carbon budgets , New Posts / 9 June 2020

A new paper by Professor Kevin Anderson and NRHU doctoral student Isak Stoddard reviews the mitigation plans of “climate progressive” nations, Sweden and the UK, and compares them with Paris-compliant pathways, and is now published in Climate Policy. The piece is written together with a colleague from Manchester, John Broderick. You can read the full article here:  A factor of two: how the mitigation plans of ‘climate progressive’ nations fall far short of Paris-compliant pathways Swedish press release from Uppsala University can be read here:  Sveriges klimatmål långt ifrån tillräckliga för att klara Parisavtalet And a longer news piece/interview here. You can even read a slightly more polemic piece in the Ecologist which expands a bit on the results of the analysis and is available here:  Beyond a climate of comfortable ignorance  For more information contact:Isak Stoddard vid institutionen för geovetenskaper, Uppsala universitetTel: 070-3147236E-post: Kevin Anderson vid institutionen för geovetenskaper, Uppsala universitetTel: +44 797 314 1376E-post:

Carbon budgets in Umeå

This week, Martin and Aaron travelled to Umeå to present several lectures on carbon budgets and meet with local government representatives and civil society groups. Earlier this year, Fridays for Future Umeå approached the Climate Change Leadership Node requesting a carbon budget for their municipality. Until then, it had only been municipalities, regions and county boards that had commissioned a carbon budget from CCL. Within 10 days the civil society grouped had fundraised enough money for the carbon budget which was delivered earlier this year. On Monday Martin and Aaron lectured at various locations in the city. This culminated in a public lecture in the evening at Umeå University which was attended by over 200 members of the public. Our most important recommendation from the presentations and associated carbon budgets is that governing bodies consider the cumulative effect of carbon dioxide emissions, pursue science-based targets and set goals accordingly.

Carbon budgets and Södermanlands Climate Day

Last Friday, the Climate Leadership Node was invited to Södermanlands klimatdag (climate day) 2019. Södermanland is the county immediately to the south-west of Stockholm with a population of roughly 300 000 people. It is also one of the counties for which we calculated a carbon budget in 2018. In this report, the county’s allocated budget was 14Mt C02, roughly 5% of Sweden’s total budget. If emissions continue at 2016 levels, Södermanland will break this budget by mid next decade. Hence, we recommend an emissions reduction curve of 16% p.a. See the full report here. The conference took place at ReTuna, the world’s first recycling mall, where pre-loved goods are given a second chance through recycling and upcycling (see above picture, source: In the morning, Aaron, research assistant at the Climate Change Leadership Node, gave a presentation on Södermanland’s carbon budget and what this means for the county. Throughout the day we heard from different local government authorities, businesses working with sustainability and of course ReTuna, itself a leading example of circular economy. We also heard from Södermanland’s largest and Sweden’s fourth largest individual source of emissions, the SSAB Oxelösund steel production facility. This corresponds to roughly half of the entire county’s…